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Effective Future Forecasting in a World of Uncertainty

Brief

In the years preceding the global pandemic, humanity has overwhelmingly come to accept likelihoods, possibilities or non-statistical chances as predictive descriptors of the future. Today, with the growing demands of our planet, strategic and thoughtful forecasting must be nimble, agile, and adaptable. From top-down and bottom-up forecasting, pattern recognition, and systems analysis - can governments rely on predictive tools and statistics to be best prepared for an uncertain future? During this talk, we hear from Warren Hatch, CEO of Good Judgment Inc, and a superforecaster himself, on the required mindset to disable the noisiness of variability and produce effective forecasts for the future.

Speakers

Warren Hatch
Warren Hatch
Chief Executive Officer, Good Judgement
RTA Hall'23
February 15, 2023 - 11:20 - 11:40
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